With the 2012 season approaching the summer break it's time to speculate again: What is the grid going to look like next year?
I don't see many changes happening in the top teams. The major two variables at this point are Felipe Massa's position at Ferrari, and whether or not Michael Schumacher is going to race for another year or two. From the midfield downwards some changes are possible - depending on which driver offers which team the most money.
Here's a first draft for the 2013 grid, taken from the Autosport forum:
Scuderia Ferrari
Ferrari F2013 – Ferrari 056
Team Principal: Stefano Domenicali ; Technical Director: Pat Fry
1. Fernando Alonso (contracted through '16)
2. Felipe Massa (current driver; ever more likely to stay on for another season)
Red Bull Racing
Red Bull Racing RB9 – Renault RS27-2013
Team Principal: Christian Horner; Technical Director: Adrian Newey
3. Sebastian Vettel (on a long-term deal through '14, perhaps with options)
4. Mark Webber (another one-year deal)
Vodafone McLaren Mercedes
McLaren MP4-28 – Mercedes FO108Z1
Team Principal: Martin Whitmarsh ; Technical Director: Paddy Lowe, Neil Oatley
5. Jenson Button (contracted through '13 with option for '14)
6. Lewis Hamilton (current driver; might be an option for Ferrari or Mercedes; likely to stay on, though)
Lotus F1 Team
Lotus E21 – Renault RS27-2013
Team Principal: Eric Boullier ; Technical Director: James Allison
7. Kimi Räikkönen (contracted through '13)
8. Romain Grosjean (current driver; likely to stay on)
Mercedes AMG Petronas Formula One Team
Mercedes F1 W04 – Mercedes FO108Z1
Team Principal: Ross Brawn ; Technical Director: Bob Bell
9. Nico Rosberg (on a multi-year deal beyond '13)
10. Michael Schumacher (current driver; original 3-year deal runs out come '13; might sign for another (few) season(s))
Sauber F1 Team
Sauber C32 – Ferrari 056
Team Principal: Peter Sauber ; Technical Director: James Key
11. Sergio Pérez (on a multi-year contract)
12. Kamuit Kobayashi (current driver)
Williams
Williams FW35 – Renault RS27-2013
Team Principal: Adam Parr ; Technical Director: Mike Coughlan
14. Pastor Maldonado (on a long-term deal through '14, perhaps with options)
15. Bruno Senna (current driver; not having as good a year as his team-mate)
Valtteri Bottas (test driver; allegedly being groomed for the seat)
Sahara Force India F1 Team
Force India VJM06 – Mercedes FO108Z
Team Principal: Vijay Mallya ; Technical Director: Andrew Green
16. Paul Di Resta (current driver)
Jules Bianchi (test driver and Ferrari junior programme member; said by Mallya to be in the frame)
17. Nico Hülkenberg (current driver)
Scuderia Toro Rosso
Toro Rosso STR8 – Ferrari 056
Team Principal: Franz Tost ; Technical Director: Giorgio Ascanelli
18. Daniel Ricciardo (current driver; likely to stay on)
19. Jean-éric Vergne (current driver; likely to stay on)
Caterham F1 Team
Caterham CT02 – Renault RS27-2013
Team Principal: Tony Fernandes ; Technical Director: Mike Gascoyne
20. Heikki Kovalainen (current driver; has stated that he wants to joing higher-ranking team for '13)
21. Vitaly Petrov (current driver; possibly on 2-year deal)
Marussia F1 Team
Marussia MR02 – Cosworth CA2013
Team Principal: John Booth ; Technical Director: Pat Symonds
22. Timo Glock (contract through '14)
23. Charles Pic (current driver)
HRT F1 Team
HRT F113 – Cosworth CA2013
Team Principal: Luis Pérez-Sala ; Technical Director: Jacky Eeckelaert
24. Pedro de la Rosa (contracted through '13)
25. Narain Karthikeyan (current driver)


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