Gartner: Personal cloud to become center of digital life by 2014

In the past several years, we have heard endless experts say that the PC era is either dead or dying or that we are now living in a "post-PC world". Now a new report from the research firm Gartner predicts that the PC will no longer be the center of a user's digital life in the time span of just two short years.

Gartner's report, "The New PC Era: The Personal Cloud", predicts that by the year 2014, personal online cloud services will take over from the personal computer as consumers download and use services on cloud-based systems on a variety of products, including smartphones and tablets.

Steve Kleynhans, research vice president at Gartner, states:

In this new world, the specifics of devices will become less important for the organization to worry about. Users will use a collection of devices, with the PC remaining one of many options, but no one device will be the primary hub. Rather, the personal cloud will take on that role. Access to the cloud and the content stored or shared in the cloud will be managed and secured, rather than solely focusing on the device itself.

Gartner says that a number of factors will cause its prediction to come true. That includes the rise of the virtualization of applications, the use of self-service cloud systems, and people being able to use their applications and content on the go from a variety of hardware devices.

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23 Comments

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I think what Gartner is trying to say is that through to proliferation of mobile devices consumers are not tied to a single PC as the hub of their computing world. What is replacing that hub is a collection of cloud based services supporting the various client applications on your iPhone, iPad, desktop, laptop #1, laptop #2, etc. Given that, id say 2014 is kind of late. Most common tasks by consumers are already cloud based. E-mail, socializing, ECT.

My guess that they stuck with 2014 is to give the other common tasks performed by users (productivity) to get more cloud service adoption. You might not use Google docs but you can bet the next productivity suite out of Redmond will have tons of cloud services built in under the covers.

For me Cloud is just another source of back-up. You don't put all of your eggs in one basket when it comes to highly important data.

When it comes to stuff like important applications and operating systems? I'd prefer to keep mine local, because if it breaks? I can attempt to fix it. If the cloud goes down/my internet, I'm left cupping my balls till someone else fixes it.

I do use Steam/Origin (albeit begrudgingly), but I do have all the games that matter backed up to an external HDD just in case I am ever left without a 'net connection.

I listened to their presentation webinar last wednesday on the topic of where technology is headed. Very interesting, if not obvious.

I think Gartner is right, and judging by the other comments on here, I'm alone in that opinion. However I do think the prediction of 2014 is too early.

I still don't use cloud, don't trust it and i find it useless. Only place i use cloud but not directly is Steam so i think purpose of Cloud is to be used within application giving you option to save things to cloud or locally. For examples Games you buy from Steam.

techguy77 said,
I still don't use cloud, don't trust it and i find it useless. Only place i use cloud but not directly is Steam so i think purpose of Cloud is to be used within application giving you option to save things to cloud or locally. For examples Games you buy from Steam.

I totally agree with you, although I have to ask you:

Do you use emailing? And if so, do you run your own mail server with a static IP address or dyndns/whatever updated address against a domain you bought?

GS:mac

Yeah, I'll invest all my trust in them in regards to backing up correctly, preventing bitrot, restoring lost data (and not telling me "sorry" and offering me "free months of premium (shi**y) service") in them for sure...

Oh and of cause I want my girlfriend's (less clothed) pictures up there for anyone who's willing to hack accounts...
(Unencrypted passwords, malware, social hacking (not only ME is storing my sensible data maybe... Some I consider "authorized" because I share business/pictures with them...)... Stuff you cannot control.)


NOT.

GS:mac

Edited by Glassed Silver, Mar 13 2012, 9:43pm :

I really don't trust the cloud. I could use it as a service for keeping purchased movies and games but NEVER for my personal documents and pictures, etc

It would take 1-2 outages to put this report into the crapper. As soon as a person feels the burn of 1. not being able to get to your stuff in a tandem with 2. the complete lack of someone to call and yell at (yahoo, google etc..) they would be done with the whole notion.

techguy77 said,
Nope. That wont'be a case. Gartner you got it wrong just like Microsoft saying about some Post-PC world.

Don't worry... it's just Gartner, the king of "analysts".

GS:mac

I don't think so. I think Gartner is smoking something. Yes people have predicting the Doom of PC for years and it never comes. Having used skydrive, icloud, dropbox, google services. Yes that do somethings great but they never are going to replace what can be accomplished with a local pc.

Deviate_X said,
My hard-drive storage is cheaper faster and "mine" ...and works offline!

<imaginary quote> You can "cache" "our" data!!!!11!! <imaginary quote end>

GS:mac

They have not taken into account the ridiculous usage limits imposed by ISP's and Mobile Operators in most parts of the world. IMO, this is the primary bottleneck.

The Dark Knight said,
They have not taken into account the ridiculous usage limits imposed by ISP's and Mobile Operators in most parts of the world. IMO, this is the primary bottleneck.

Haha yeah, we had some guy come in and do a talk about how much better his online backup company was. He didn't seem too impressed when I asked him on what kind of speeds and costs would be required (for internet) for a company with 4 email servers, 3 domain controllers and 3 profile storage servers with TBs of data and a few automated tape backup units... He seemed to think any company could have it's whole system backed up to his starting at 3am and finished by 5am...

Lol. Much like the end of the world, if people keep predicting crazy things eventually one of them will be right.

Amarok said,
Lol. Much like the end of the world, if people keep predicting crazy things eventually one of them will be right.

This...

I think it's actually something that COULD happen in terms of people being talked/marketed into it or being ignorant of the downsides...

Methinks the cloud is awesome as long as it's properly encrypted and just synchronizing YOUR local data.

Keep the personal and sensitive stuff away from the cloud, too!

GS:mac

Glassed Silver said,

This...

I think it's actually something that COULD happen in terms of people being talked/marketed into it or being ignorant of the downsides...

Methinks the cloud is awesome as long as it's properly encrypted and just synchronizing YOUR local data.

Keep the personal and sensitive stuff away from the cloud, too!

GS:mac


LOL yea right, properly encrypted. Probably not the case for 98% of the providers out there. In any case, "the cloud" is a nice idea but it certainly isnt for me. I'll do my own personal storage myself

este said,

LOL yea right, properly encrypted. Probably not the case for 98% of the providers out there. In any case, "the cloud" is a nice idea but it certainly isnt for me. I'll do my own personal storage myself

Yupp.
That's my point.

GS:mac