Kingston: SSDs could be storage of choice by end of 2012

Solid state drives have always been the best pick for PC owners compared to regular hard drives. SSDs, which use flash memory to store data, tend to be faster, have no moving parts to replace or wear out and use less energy than regular hard drives. The one difference that hurts SSDs has always been the cost. Purchasing a 128 GB SSD could get most people several 2 TB regular hard drives.

Now MaximumPC.com has a bold prediction from Kingston, which creates some of the most popular SSDs for PC owners. According to Kingston's flash memory sales director Nathan Su, he believes that the cost for flash memory will decrease down to just $1 per GB by the end of 2012. If that indeed happens, that should allow for prices of SDDs to go down as well. Other factors such as better manufacturing of SDDs and the transition down to the transition to the 19nm process should also contribute to lower prices.

One unexpected factor for hard drive prices has been the recent floods in Thailand which have caused regular mechanical hard drive factories to shut down or curtail production. As we have reported before, this has caused a shortage in hard drive as well as a price jump for the remaining drives that are still for sale. The prices for some hard drives may not go back down to pre-flood levels until the end of 2012.

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I'll buy SSD's when they are near on the same price as regular HDD's.
Until then, I'm happy without thank you.

I don't see why they are so expensive yet flash drives are so cheap?

The only way I'll switch, is when a size for size drive in SSD is the price of a mechanical drive.
The day will come, but not right now for my use. The cost vs speed benefit isn't enough to get me to switch.

It's not a case of "buy any SSD" you want. When people wish to go for an SSD, they are usually the looking for the better performing ones, especially ones with good controllers that are likely perform well in the long term and they are still very expensive.

TRC said,
$1 a GB is still crazy expensive. No thanks.

With SSDs, you don't just get space, you get speed.

about 130$ for a quality 128gb (which is more that you will ever need if you use it properly (windows+software -- no games and media) seems very reasonable to me

Mouettus said,

With SSDs, you don't just get space, you get speed.

about 130$ for a quality 128gb (which is more that you will ever need if you use it properly (windows+software -- no games and media) seems very reasonable to me

sure, your reasoning is fair. but nowadays... it's more about storage space than speed for many people which is why you won't see SSD drives replacing regular hard drive into the foreseeable future.

so like you said... if you just want the general use speed to increase then it's not a bad buy but if you need storage space like many people who do more than just use basic internet need, then SSD is just not worth it overall.

if i had say $100-150 to burn i might consider SSD but personally i would rather have 2TB storage space. (although lately 2TB drives are sky high as they went from around $80 not long ago to around $200 now on newegg)

Mouettus said,

With SSDs, you don't just get space, you get speed.

about 130$ for a quality 128gb (which is more that you will ever need if you use it properly (windows+software -- no games and media) seems very reasonable to me

games will benefit from the ssd it would be a waste just for windows + some software I'd probably benefit more from a ddram box

It's a pipe dream for 2012, and likely 2013 for that matter outside of those that don't need more then say 100-250 odd gb of total storage.

The prices for some hard drives may not go back down to pre-flood levels until the end of 2012.

.... dammit.

That said, I welcome a reduction of prices for SSDs. But we still need mechanical drives for, say backup purposes.

But of course Kingston would want to say that and see it happen as fast as possible so that no one seizes what's left of the SSD pie. I wouldn't believe it if old Maxtor's guys told me that.

Good luck with that.
1. Pricing. I could pickup a 1TB external HDD for £50, and for a SSD in that price, I'd be bankrupt.
2. IIRC, quite a lot of computers won't directly support SSDs.

You get me a 2 TB (Yes TB) SSD for the same $74 I paid for my last batch of 2 TB HDDs... then yes, at that point SSDs will have replaced HDDs.

Well, as long as the high end models don't cost twice as much, it'd make them more popular.

But cmon, like most I dream about having my games on an SSD for uber short loading times however at ~10gig per game they can't fit many

I agree that most consumer PCs will come with SSDs, but we'll always need HDDs for data centres and external storage if they offer more for a cheaper price.

from a pc gamer's stand point, that is still expensive. For a gaming laptop, having at least a 500 gb hdd is a must...which based on this article will cost about 500 bucks. No thank you.

Lord Venom said,
I'm sooooo not paying $1,000 for 1TB or $3,000 for 3TB.

True.

I recently purchased a 1TB HDD for £75.

Now if I were to buy a SSD 1TB with the same ratio (cost per GB) would cost me around £1600.

Untill SSD's last at least 6 years and are around 10-15 pence per GB I aint changing.

as long as people keep buying them at the ridiculous prices that they are selling them I highly doubt they will drop in price anytime soon which means they wont be taking over the market.

reidtheweed01 said,
as long as people keep buying them at the ridiculous prices that they are selling them I highly doubt they will drop in price anytime soon which means they wont be taking over the market.

Don't be so sure. There's a lot of competition in the SSD market. Even in segments where drives are practically identical in terms of the controller and flash memory used. Also, I believe that margins for SSD's are actually quite slim, as the cost comes mostly from the flash memory used.

You have to remember, though, how much space does the "average" user actually need? I'm building a couple of PC's for two little girls for Christmas (age 6 and 7). Because the price of HDD's skyrocketed, I had a choice of a decent 64GB SSD or a 250GB HDD - the SSD simply made more sense because these two will not need even 50GB of space for quite some time. They'll mostly just use them to play Moshi Monsters. When they do need more space, a mechanical drive can be purchased and prices will have dropped - everybody wins. So yeah, the point is - do most people really need TB's and TB's of space? I dare say the average person could easily live with 256 or even 128GB.

Kushan said,
You have to remember, though, how much space does the "average" user actually need? I'm building a couple of PC's for two little girls for Christmas (age 6 and 7). Because the price of HDD's skyrocketed, I had a choice of a decent 64GB SSD or a 250GB HDD - the SSD simply made more sense because these two will not need even 50GB of space for quite some time. They'll mostly just use them to play Moshi Monsters. When they do need more space, a mechanical drive can be purchased and prices will have dropped - everybody wins. So yeah, the point is - do most people really need TB's and TB's of space? I dare say the average person could easily live with 256 or even 128GB.

I have tons of games installed and haven't even filled up 20% of my 3TB (two 1TBs in RAID and one 1TB external.) Hell once I get my other SSD back from RMA it might not even be 10%.

tuckeratlarge said,
Is it worth buying an 128gig one for boot and proggies and having a whopper or two spin jobs for data?

yes, especially during the current holiday discounts.

tuckeratlarge said,
Is it worth buying an 128gig one for boot and proggies and having a whopper or two spin jobs for data?

not even a 128 GB for me..

i got a 64 GB and put windows 7 on there with a terebyte spinner on the side.. 64 GB was perfect for windows and all the programs you want the speed to be there.. i installed all my games on the TB because it really does not change games at all.. but it was great for Office and IE9..

Lachlan said,

not even a 128 GB for me..

i got a 64 GB and put windows 7 on there with a terebyte spinner on the side.. 64 GB was perfect for windows and all the programs you want the speed to be there.. i installed all my games on the TB because it really does not change games at all.. but it was great for Office and IE9..

doesn't change games? what games are you playing, plants vs zombies? lol. get a z68 motherboard and use intel ssd caching. installing windows on a ssd is a waste of space, the majority of those files are never going to get used.

Even at $1 GB, that works out to $2000 for a 2TB SSD drive. From the perspective of a home studio user, Uncompressed WAV files take up a lot of space, that works out to be too expensive.

Of course, given the current rise of HDD prices, I imagine I won't be buying any more space for some time unless it's a life or death situation.

Even at $1/GB, 2TB drives would cost $2K.. So, no, I don't see SSD's replacing mechanical HDD's for another 5-6 years... For small boot drives, yes, sales would go up, but it wouldn't be the demise of mechanical HDD's just yet.

If they can really reduce the prices by that much then they certainly have the ability to saturate the market much more effectively but the prices simply haven't been falling that quickly so far. I'd certainly like to replace all my hard drives with SSD counterparts.

MightyJordan said,
No, it's not gonna happen that soon. It's probably gonna be at least another three years before that happens.

provided one doesn't flood again and cause a $55 hard drive (Hitachi made in china) to go from $55 to $160 same freaking model 1tb...

MightyJordan said,
No, it's not gonna happen that soon. It's probably gonna be at least another three years before that happens.

i disagree.. i believe that all laptops will have ssd's in about a year or 2.. well ultra portable laptops

desktops will not have a switch i dont think anytime soon at all

PatrynXX said,

provided one doesn't flood again and cause a $55 hard drive (Hitachi made in china) to go from $55 to $160 same freaking model 1tb...

exactly! , hard drive prices lately are sky high vs what they used to be which was near dirt cheap as you could get 2TB hard drives for around $80 but now that same hard drive is literally $199 + ship.

i am not exaggerating either as i just checked newegg a few moments ago and a hard drive i have that was consistently around $80 (SAMSUNG EcoGreen F4 HD204UI 2TB) is now literally $199 + $7ship.

hopefully all this BS settles down within 6months to a year and get back to dirt cheap prices like they should be as prices are not even reasonable now for 2TB hard drives as they basically went up about 2.5 times from what they used to be in price.

Lachlan said,

i disagree.. i believe that all laptops will have ssd's in about a year or 2.. well ultra portable laptops

desktops will not have a switch i dont think anytime soon at all

I don't doubt that SSD will make its way into consumer products in mass. However, I am simply not satisfied with the current status quo of meager 320Gb hard disk. I would like to see getting a more reasonable price on a say 500 Gb SSD drive. With mass amount of data we accumulate in this Internet age, I find the storage & pricing on SSD rather disappointing.

Even at $1 per Gb, it is still unlikely that I will shell out $500 just for a 500Gb SSD drive.

Even so... hard drives dropped below $1 per GB almost ten years ago (and hit $0.10/GB recently, not sure if we're still there since prices have been going back up lately). SSD can't compete in price per GB or even total capacity in one drive... but man, is the speed nice.

funkydude said,
I dream of the day that a GB is $1, I highly doubt it will happen but I'll be hoping for it.

?? there are quite a few that were pushing 80 dollars for a 80 GB SSD.. and some that were getting close to 128 GB for around 150 bucks.. its closer then you think.. they may be the last generation ssd but they are getting cheaper

Aaron44126 said,
Even so... hard drives dropped below $1 per GB almost ten years ago (and hit $0.10/GB recently, not sure if we're still there since prices have been going back up lately). SSD can't compete in price per GB or even total capacity in one drive... but man, is the speed nice.

It's kinda bad to say it like this, but the Thailand flooding which doubled HDD prices I think really helps boost SSD's popularity, especially going into the Christmas season. Not only for consumers, but PC makers are probably looking into using SSDs instead of HDDs due to the price hike.

funkydude said,
I dream of the day that a GB is $1, I highly doubt it will happen but I'll be hoping for it.

well for black friday and all the recent sales ive been seeing 1GB for $1 easy.

4gbs for $3 (flash drive)
64gb for $50 (flash drive)

120gb for $120 (ssd drive)

Edited by ShareShiz, Nov 28 2011, 3:19am :

ShareShiz said,

well for black friday and all the recent sales ive been seeing 1GB for $1 easy.

4gbs for $3 (flash drive)
64gb for $50 (flash drive)

120gb for $120 (ssd drive)

Back in high school, or maybe sooner, did you not learn of the importance of using capital letters in abbreviations? It's people like you that i think do not know the difference between a gigabit (Gb) and a gigabyte (GB). There is, in fact, a HUGE difference.
In retrospect, looking at the rest of your comment, your shift key must simply be broken. So I take all of rudeness back.

Sorry, i was just trying to be educational. ;P

L1ke 20 N1njas said,
Back in high school. . .
Joke's on me, because I left two I's uncapitalized... meh. You got the point, though?

Aaron44126 said,
...but man, is the speed nice.

Speed is nice, but not all SSD drives are the ultra fast drives we've come to expect.
Cheap memory with a cheap controller will equare to a cheap SSD drive with lots of space, but the face is, it might not really be all that much faster then a standard drive.

And then we have the issue of how to maximise the speed of the drive anyway. In the past we've had discussions of if its best to install windows on the drive or most used programs/games etc... one thing is for sure we all agree that documents, pictures etc are best stored on a large spinner.

Personally, I use my SSD drive for Windows and a few select apps, such as Delphi where as my girlfriend has her SSD drive dedicated to games, world of warcraft plays really nice on it.

But as some others have suggested already, ifyou have one of the newer (z68/x79) intel chipset motherboards you can use a small SSD drive as a verylarge spinner cache, turning large drive into a fast hybrid drive. I've had a toy around with it on some new builds and I'd actually go for that over installing Windows dedicated on the SSD now as it seems to speed everything up, even when loading 1000s of images or reading music tag etc. Something that is normally still slow on a spinner.

L1ke 20 N1njas said,
Back in high school, or maybe sooner, did you not learn of the importance of using capital letters in abbreviations? It's people like you that i think do not know the difference between a gigabit (Gb) and a gigabyte (GB). There is, in fact, a HUGE difference.
In retrospect, looking at the rest of your comment, your shift key must simply be broken. So I take all of rudeness back.

Sorry, i was just trying to be educational. ;P

ok grammer nazi. i dont care about the shift key.

GB vs Gb. sorry i didnt learn that until grade 1.

Byte and bite

sorry i was just trying to be educational