PlayStation 3 to outsell Wii by 2013

Sony's PlayStation 3 games console will outsell the Nintendo Wii by 2013, at least according to industry analyst David Mercer of StrategyAnalytics who wrote a short preview of the upcoming "Global Video Game Market Forecast" publication on his blog.

In his blog post, the analyst wrote that there will be an estimated 76 million Wiis used worldwide by the end of 2010. However, he went on to say that there are signs "that the Wii has peaked in terms of console sales, and its installed base will begin to decline after 2011."

Meanwhile, Sony’s PS3 and Microsoft’s Xbox 360 will continue to grow, so that the PS3 will become the largest platform globally by 2013. In terms of cumulative lifetime sales we expect the PS3 to hit 127 million units, compared to 103 million Wiis."

Mercer goes on to explain their forecast scenario and how there are uncertainties surrounding both the PlayStation 3 and Xbox 360 due to the introduction of motion controllers to both systems, as well as Sony's plans to add support for 3D to all PlayStation 3s.

He finished the post with some basic statistics about the year for console sales. After a 6% decline in the sales last year, he says that they "are predicting global console sales of 47.5 million, a 9% decline".

"The Wii will account for most of that decline: sales of the PS3 and Xbox 360 are predicted to increase."

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I was discussing this article with a friend and he was kind enough to let me post this he came up with:

*It's the year 2013 and the Sony president ask to their different branches how they are doing...

Game Branch: Sir we have good new and bad news.
President: Good news please...
Game Branch: Sir the PS3 finally is selling at a profit in hardware.
President: That's great, and what is the bad news?

*Game Branch: Well Sir,...errmm... the market is already saturated, the economy stalled and Nintendo and MS are working on their NextGeneration Consoles.... so we are barely selling any PS3s...
President: .... Well, that's lame, do something to fix it and let me know... I'll be at my Office playing Mario Galaxy 3.

lol

Dr Fate said,
I was discussing this article with a friend and he was kind enough to let me post this he came up with:

*It's the year 2013 and the Sony president ask to their different branches how they are doing...

Game Branch: Sir we have good new and bad news.
President: Good news please...
Game Branch: Sir the PS3 finally is selling at a profit in hardware.
President: That's great, and what is the bad news?

*Game Branch: Well Sir,...errmm... the market is already saturated, the economy stalled and Nintendo and MS are working on their NextGeneration Consoles.... so we are barely selling any PS3s...
President: .... Well, that's lame, do something to fix it and let me know... I'll be at my Office playing Mario Galaxy 3.

lol

PS3 has been having profits for a while now.

C_Guy said,
You have to start to wonder if Sony is paying for blogs, articles and so-called "expert" opinions that are so laugh-out-loud funny. The Wii will climb, peak, and fall just like every other product in its market. But while Sony sits idle somewhere in the PS3's magical "10 year plan" Nintendo will already have its next innovation on the market. They don't sit still for very long. Anyone expecting nothing from Nintendo in the next 3 years is not utilizing much brain power.

Since when has any generation of console been designed to go up against another companies next generation console? The wording of the article might suggest this to you since Nintendo might be releasing a next gen version before 2013 but I don't remember reading that Sony expects the PS3 to compete with a next gen console of any competitors. They're stating predictions for the current consoles. Do you know 100% that Sony isn't working on something too? I know about their plans but that doesn't mean they aren't working on something. Who knows, they might be idiots and expect it to beat out anything including next gen.

The point is that they are only stating that the PS3 will beat out Wii sales by 2013, not anything Nintendo can release.

Edited by The Guru Network, Mar 10 2010, 12:47pm :

i spent the day hunting ps3's today. my cousin came down and wanted to grab one for himself.
gamestop, walmart, target and bestbuy...all Sold Out! Amazing.

schiz-o-phren-ic said,
i spent the day hunting ps3's today. my cousin came down and wanted to grab one for himself.
gamestop, walmart, target and bestbuy...all Sold Out! Amazing.

We've seen this "limited supply" syndrom from Sony before, they aren't selling a significantly larger number of consoles then Nintendo or Microsoft, they're just in shorter supply/have worse distribution. Every time a major game comes out for sony there's a short term shortage, and God of War has been pushed as a "very big game" so it's not surprising that their narrow supply chain's choked up... doesn't mean all that much for them in terms of profitability.

Well, they've been doing quite well on sales these past few months. Great stream of game releases from last October-December carrying over into the new year long with another great lineup to begin the year. I remember seeing stacks of ps3's sitting throughout the floors across BestBuy stores here. Supply may be an issue, but it's obvious they're selling significantly more across the board in comparison to the competition.

Edited by SimplySchizo, Mar 10 2010, 5:54am :

schiz-o-phren-ic said,
i spent the day hunting ps3's today. my cousin came down and wanted to grab one for himself.
gamestop, walmart, target and bestbuy...all Sold Out! Amazing.

Sony announced last month that supplies would be "tight" for the next few months. They intentionally reduced inventory, although they didn't say why from what I recall.

Sony's got a good thing going now. Cheaper HD TV's are fuelling Blu-ray sales, so people with a family will feel it's not bad forking out a bit more to get a PS3 as well.
Plus, the games are picking up... I picked up a PS3 Slim late last year and I've been quite impressed with recent titles.

I have the Wii as well but it seems no more killer games are coming out for it... I think they've used the 'motion sensor' controller well to sell games but they've run out of ideas (and it looks pretty bady on HD screens!). Time for the Wii 2, Nintendo has had enough time to prep it so it should be something (full-motion body suits anyone?!).

I would love to be an analyst. You can just make up total bull**** and get paid lots of money for it.

By 2013 no one will be buying a Wii so I sure as hell HOPE the PS3 would be outselling it.

six out of the top 10 video games in 2009 belonged to the Wii.
Nintendo sold more Wiis in December of 2009 than the PS3 and Xbox 360 combined.

Say what you want. It has repeatedly kicked Sony and Microsoft's ass's.
Let's say how this really works.
The Wii is geared towards adults who grew up with Zelda, Super Mario and the likes. They have kids now. Do the math on that one.
XBox and Playstation are geared towards teenage boys ( Who probably had their parents buy it for them anyway) and adult males that still live in their parents basement.
XBox and Playstation may have more realistic games but I guess by the figures for the past few years, that doesn't always make you better.

speedstr3789 said,
The Wii is geared towards adults who grew up with Zelda, Super Mario and the likes. They have kids now. Do the math on that one.
XBox and Playstation are geared towards teenage boys ( Who probably had their parents buy it for them anyway) and adult males that still live in their parents basement.

+1

By 2013 nobody will be buying any of them. (And no, there's no 2012 doomsday punchline in there.) I'd like to think there would be new consoles by then, especially to replace the Wii.

Is this guy Pachter in a mask? The console that's selling twice its competition combined will be outsold by one of those said competitors... in 3 years? Ok.

For those that say the Wii is a "kiddie toy"... you're absolutely right. It's a game, like the 360 and PS3. Look for the Wii to be sold out everywhere for the coming months as Mario Galaxy 2, Metroid: Other M and later the new Zelda get even more people on the bandwagon. Just NSMB Wii caused a console glut this holiday season.

in 3 years when the Wii two is out as well as a new XBOX and the PS4. Seems like someone had to much time on their hands to do a study like this.

Everyone will be tired of the Wii at that point though, and by then the PS3 will have much better exclusives. To me, this isnt all that surprising.

Um? No offense meant but how long have the Wii "fad" been expecting to "decline"?
If it's bad as people make it out to be, word of mouth would of killed it by now.

Nintendo has the sales to prove it's #1. It's try that fans of Ps3/Xbox may not like the Wii but the Wii appeals to a much larger group, besides gamers.

Sorry to say but here in Greece, the Wii was sold out from early Dec to late Jan, most of the places I went visiting, and literally it was a case of searching for when wii's came in, they would be sold out within a couple of hours, the shelves were stacled to the top with PS3 and 360, and no one was interested, it even got to the point one box of ps3 was the same price as a wii, and people were still waiting for the wii's.

As to the market share, I would say the wii is aimed as the family, not so much the individual, just look at the majority of the games, they provide social gaming with everyone playing at the same time.

I must admit to switching the wii on when friends are round for a drink and the night turning into hilarious fun, even the girlfriends joining in playing.

I think a lot of the games play on humor and multiplayer, if you have never ever played raving rabbits on the wii with a bunch of friends after having a couple of beers, then you really wont understand how much fun it is.

I see a lot of people knocking the wii, but those knocking it have missed the point of what the wii provides, its not a high end system, people wont go OMG look at the textures on that. The wii isnt aimed at those people. I really think the wii aimed itself at a market and gave a platform people could play fun games on as a group. Not at an individual sat at home on his own getting carried away at how his single person game looks and plays like.

I personally dislike the wii. I'm an old fart who just likes sitting down and relaxing whilst playing. None of this motion stuff. But that's my opinion. What they achieved was very good indeed.

Little kids... I'm not a little kid. And I prefer the Wii over both. And 2013... By then we will already have the Wii 2, Next Xbox and PS4. So no luck. PS3's are just overpriced for nothing much. I'd much rather get a Xbox over a ps3. But a Wii over both

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