Hurricane Lili Winds Reach 135+ Mph


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WTNT33 KNHC 021745

TCPAT3

BULLETIN

HURRICANE LILI SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 45

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL

1 PM CDT WED OCT 02 2002

...LILI STRENGTHENS RAPIDLY TO DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS

TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT

LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED

TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FREEPORT TEXAS TO

HIGH ISLAND...AND FROM THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO THE

ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER...INCLUDING NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE

PONTCHARTRAIN.

AT 1 PM CDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LILI WAS LOCATED

NEAR LATITUDE 25.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.4 WEST OR ABOUT 325 MILES

SOUTH OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA.

LILI IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL

MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE

THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 135 MPH...WITH

HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES LILI A DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE ON

THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING

IS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES FROM THE

CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185

MILES. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD INLAND UP TO

150 MILES NEAR THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF LILI.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER

IS 941 MB...27.79 INCHES.

A LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE OF 10 TO 15 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE

LEVELS IS LIKELY NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES

THE COAST. THIS SURGE COULD SPREAD WELL INLAND ACROSS THE LOW-

LYING AREAS OF THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE

TRACK OF LILI.

REPEATING THE 1 PM CDT POSITION...25.3 N... 89.4 W. MOVEMENT

TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED

WINDS...135 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 941 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR

PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

AT 4 PM CDT.

FORECASTER BEVEN

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

God bless the people of SE Texas and Southern Louisana in this difficult time.

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This is definately going to be a major event in terms of weather. The thing has a low pressure, the storm has excellent symmetry and has a well-defined eye wall.

And the thing is that it is almost taking the same path as TS Isidore did a week ago, but this one will be a bit further to the west.

The pressure is very low too, this will be conducive for high storm surge and further strengthening.

It is rather hard to believe that a more powerful storm takes almost the same path as a storm did one week ago. :o

I would say that if you are in SE Texas or South Louisiana and have not evacutated you are a fool in my eyes.

God Bless those in the path of this thing.

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Amen Tesseract. It is events like these that make me want to learn more about meterology; not only because I have the interest but because of the awesome power one can witness. The power of this storm will be quite hard to rival.

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Originally posted by AGW83

Amen Tesseract. It is events like these that make me want to learn more about meterology; not only because I have the interest but because of the awesome power one can witness. The power of this storm will be quite hard to rival.

Yes indeed. I am very interested in meteorology. Always have been. Though it is a consideration for my career path, I mainly want to go into civil engineering.

I guess I could be the "Neowin Meteorologist." :p

I am quite familiar with the science as a matter of fact. Not fully, but I know quite a bit.

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Originally posted by username

tess that would suck if you lost power for a few days

You posted that last time. :rolleyes:

Are you trying to say that it would suck because I would not be able to post?

Heck the last storm barely affected us besides rain, this one is moving futher west, get it?

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She's headed right for where I am in south Louisiana. I'll be chillin in the hallway of my dorm at LSU. I'm looking at the bright side, we get thursday and friday off. :)

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As of now the storm has been downgraded to a Tropical Storm with winds of 52 MPH. The following is a tracking chart of Lili:

AL1302W.GIF

The storm is set to take a northeastward track towards Memphis, then towards Louisville.

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I'm okay people. My dorm building is pretty safe here. I slept through the whole thing...and I slept like a baby. The only place I would have evacuated to would have been my home, which is further south than where I am now.

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