2036 : The year an Asteroid hits Earth ?


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Not to alarm you, but Russian scientists estimate Earth will be hit by an asteroid on April 13, 2036. Should we start packing our bags now? And where would we go?

In 2004, NASA suggested the possibility that the asteroid called Apophis, bigger than two football fields, might collide with our planet in 2029. Further computations changed their minds about that prediction.

And now, Russian figures give us a new date for a possible encounter with the giant rock from space.

"Technically, they're correct -- there is a chance in 2036" that Apophis will hit Earth, Donald Yeomans, head of NASA's Near Earth Object Program.

But Yeomans added that the odds of this happening are only 1 in 250,000.

Last month, Leonid Sokolov of Russia's St. Petersburg State University announced that "Apophis will approach Earth at a distance of 37,000 to 38,000 kilometers on April 13, 2029. Its likely collision with Earth may occur on April 13, 2036."

But Sokolov also conceded that a 2036 collision was unlikely because scientists should be able to figure out a way to prevent it.

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well didn't take Russians very long to detonate the largest nuclear bomb in history surely in hand with Americans they could vaporise it easily from a distance with a modified ICBM.

Russian OTT bombs with American precision would be cool.

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No. It almost certainly will not hit the Earth; the odds that give it the closest chance for hitting Earth are 1 in 135,000. Other estimates make it even less likely.

And even if it did, it wouldn't be apocalyptic and planet destroying - merely very bad for wherever it did hit. Enough of this ludicrous doomsday nonsense.

Source: http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2011/02/09/media-fail-again-huffpo-and-apophis-edition/

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No. It almost certainly will not hit the Earth; the odds that give it the closest chance for hitting Earth are 1 in 135,000. Other estimates make it even less likely.

And even if it did, it wouldn't be apocalyptic and planet destroying - merely very bad for wherever it did hit. Enough of this ludicrous doomsday nonsense.

Source: http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2011/02/09/media-fail-again-huffpo-and-apophis-edition/

Hear, hear! A load of rubbish if you ask me. We're just looking for ways to scare humanity, and there are enough reasons to be scared without this whole 2012/2013/2014/2015...2036 nonsense.

That said, I'm still working on an idea for the most awesome way to deal with impending doom, should it happen. I've got as far as "I'll need a cricket bat."

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I'm going to say it's unlikely at best. Apophis is an awesome name though, and if I hadn't already established my Gamertag I'd almost consider changing to it as a joke. If it happens, will it be that vast a collision? At the size of two football fields, it wouldn't make a massive mark on a city. I'm thinking of London, but I'm sure other cities provide even better comparisons. Even if it does enter earth, there's a chance that it'll hit one of the many vast expansions of ocean. If it did that, surely it wouldn't be a threat or could it cause tsunamis and tidal waves? I like the idea posted above about one of those epic Russian missiles (I believe it was the Tsar Bomb?) being used to annihilate the asteroid: footage of that would be amazing to see.

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Shooting a missile at it isn't going to do a damn thing, nuclear bombs behave differently in space than they do on the ground (We've detonated nuclear bombs in low earth orbit, apart from a light show, some power failures and some damaged satellites, nothing else happened).

Even then, the actual Asteroid itself is very small, it's only 270m across.

And after all that, odds of it actually hitting are between 1 in 135,000 to 1 in 250,000, so they're very low.

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I saw on tv about a device similar to a misil that will allow once it hit an asteroid to change its trayectory. If scientist are testing this now, by 2036 the technology will be eve more sophisticated.

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Even then, the actual Asteroid itself is very small, it's only 270m across.

And after all that, odds of it actually hitting are between 1 in 135,000 to 1 in 250,000, so they're very low.

In that case then, it shouldn't be a very big threat. It's probably going to be hyped up like 2012 was when it grows closer to the date, assuming that this information doesn't just disappear in the future. Though it likely will, due to the fact it doesn't seem to be a major spectacle, and most people won't know about it yet.

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Shooting a missile at it isn't going to do a damn thing, nuclear bombs behave differently in space than they do on the ground (We've detonated nuclear bombs in low earth orbit, apart from a light show, some power failures and some damaged satellites, nothing else happened).

Even then, the actual Asteroid itself is very small, it's only 270m across.

And after all that, odds of it actually hitting are between 1 in 135,000 to 1 in 250,000, so they're very low.

The odds are still higher than me winning the lottery :D

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Shooting a missile at it isn't going to do a damn thing, nuclear bombs behave differently in space than they do on the ground (We've detonated nuclear bombs in low earth orbit, apart from a light show, some power failures and some damaged satellites, nothing else happened).

Even then, the actual Asteroid itself is very small, it's only 270m across.

And after all that, odds of it actually hitting are between 1 in 135,000 to 1 in 250,000, so they're very low.

It was a bit of a joke lol obviously old style nuclear bomb in space wouldn't really work ... only if it was precisely hit within our atmosphere would it have an effect of breaking up but would cause a lot of fall out due to size it would need to be. But if it came down to using a weapon against it, it would more then likely be a concentrated laser or rail gun of sorts.

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That's enough to wipe out an entire country.

Exactly. It's traveling through space at 30 km/s. It would slow down once it hit earths atmosphere. But not to the point of what people are saying

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When standing next to an ancient obelisk of unknown origin, the key to entering the obelisk to activating the tractor beam that will deflect the asteroid and save the planet is "Kirk to Enterprise".

p.s. While under the effects of amnesia, you also get to have sex with a sexy Native American woman. So, bonus all around...

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So when does the production of "2036" start :p

Done, done and done.

Just watch Armageddon.

Edit : I didn’t read the messages of the thread at all. But I just noticed that the person above me beat me to it. I officially hate you, zhiVago. And shame on me.

At least this is more credible than 2012.

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