This is my first column of the new year, which means I have to give my predictions for 2005. Weve been doing this for many years now, and unlike every other predictor Ive read, I begin with a look back at the predictions I made a year ago. How accurate was I? Or, more properly, how vague was I that I can claim accuracy?
A year ago this time, my claimed accuracy was more than 80 percent, and would have been almost 90 percent had Intel not waited one more week before embracing AMDs 64-bit processor instructions as I predicted. I doubt that this time Ill do so well, especially since a couple readers have already weighed-in with their interpretations of that 2004 column.
News source: PBS | I, Cringely