Editorial

Editorial: What I predict won't happen in the tech world during 2014

Lots of website offer predictions of what they think will happen in the next year around this time. Our editor Andy Weir offered up a terrific feature of what Microsoft is expected to introduce in 2014. However, I thought it might be fun to change things up a bit and predict what won't happen in the tech industry during the next 365 days.

Remember, this article is based largely on my own speculation and is in no way indicative of what other Neowin writers or editors feel about this subject. In other words, don't take this list too seriously; it's mainly just for fun.

Prediction 1: Google Glass won't be released in 2014 as planned

Google Glass may be the hippest thing to write about in the tech industry in the next year, but I have a feeling that this long awaited wearable computing device won't make its planned launch date by the end of 2014. Google's track record in developing new hardware is hit-and-miss and Google Glass is easily the most forward-thinking product they have come up with for the consumer market. I think Google will find out that a lot of the kinks needed to make it work won't be fixed until 2015.

Prediction 2: SteamOS and Steam Machines won't be a huge hit next year.

Valve's effort to bring the PC gaming experience into the living room is one that won't be solved by creating an all new Linux-based operation system, at least in my view. SteamOS seems to have been developed just as a way to spite Microsoft because Valve co-founder Gabe Newell doesn't like Windows 8. Newell can hate Windows 8 all he wants, but making a new OS to compete with Microsoft in the game space seems like an over-the-top gesture.

As far as Steam Machines and Valve's Steam Controller, let's just say there are a ton of PC desktop options already out there that can easily connect to a big screen TV and use the Big Picture mode that Valve has put into the Steam service. The only thing that's lacking is a marketing push to get more people to connect a PC to a living room television. Valve needs to provide that push and I just don't think they will be able to do it with Steam Machines.

Prediction 3: Apple won't release a big screen television in 2014

The feeling among many analysts is that Apple will finally release a big screen television with a version of iOS and some other features by the end of 2014. Some people have even claimed Samsung could provide parts for Apple's television. It's tempting to think Apple will bring this long rumored device to market in the near future.

However, my feeling on an Apple television launch by the the end of next year is that it won't happen at all. Making a device in an all new product category is tough and creating a huge television with interactive features is a lot more complicated than developing the first iPad, in my opinion. Apple may be making a TV, but they also don't want to rush it out either and my gut tells me it won't happen this year.

Prediction 4: Microsoft won't release the Surface Xbox tablet in the next year

In case you haven't heard, Microsoft will be going through some changes in 2014 in upper management. Whomever is picked as CEO will likely have to look long and hard at the company's future product plans. For well over a year now, one of the most persistant rumors is that Microsoft is making a 7-inch Xbox Surface tablet that's being made for gaming.

That may indeed have been the case, but the truth is that the Surface Pro 2 tablet that's already on sale is a pretty good gaming PC by itself. Assuming the Xbox Surface tablet rumors are true, my feeling is that the new CEO might decide to put it on hold in favor of a Xbox-themed Surface cover blade with special controllers and other features.

Prediction 5: Amazon won't launch a gaming-TV set top box in 2014

Amazon was rumored a few months ago to be making its own game console, which could also serve as a TV set-top box. The company has certainly made things more competitive in the tablet space with its Kindle Fire devices. That being said, having a tablet for sale is a lot different than launching a game console.

At the moment, only three companies are a factor in the console industry: Sony, Microsoft and Nintendo, and even the latter corporation is having problems getting anyone to buy the Wii U. Amazon may look at the current market and see that there's not much room for an all new player in this battle. It's far more likely that Amazon will make new smartphones in 2014 than a game console.

Images via Google, Valve, Digital Trends, and Amazon

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So what you've basically done is taken what others say will happen and just said "No it won't" and called that an article. Go you. A career at Reuters must surely be just around the corner...

No.7- Windows users will continue to complain about the missing start menu in subsequent Windows OS releases just because they are too lazy to get their head around the new metro UI.

It isn't just the Start menu. It is the desktop environment. Other than snapping things, which is clumsy, Modern UI apps run full screen... right now on my 2 monitors I have 5 apps and a dialog window open, not counting the several programs running on my taskbar and system tray. Multitasking is just much more painful under the Modern UI, and anyone who is more than a casual user needs to multitask, especially tech and office professionals. I love Modern UI on tablets and my phone, but the interface is just much different for a PC.

Steam machine I am almost 100% sure It won't be hit at all. be realistic. majority of Steam users (including me) are PC gamers. how can people leave their entire library for Linux based games and how ms will allow Steambox to load windows and be a potential threat to its own console XBOX. I am sorry valve but steam machine is dead before arrival. If they would be smart somehow they find a way to Windows 8 Modern UI and XBOX Extension as potentially most PC games could be ported over.

Mr. Hand said,
There's probably nothing you'd want to play a game on due to latency. Why wouldn't you use an HDMI?

Because my computer is in the next room over, too far to connect a cable and my wife said "no" to using our TV as a monitor and having my PC docked next to it.

So, even with the increased network speeds of routers/switches, latency would be horrible? I ask because I honestly don't know.

I've never seen anything that would work over a network and still produce reasonable gaming video performance. You actually can run HDMI between rooms if you don't mind doing some drilling and crawling through the attic. I'm not sure of the range of the wireless game controller. I usually use it in the same room. Mine is easy because I have an Alienware laptop and can just set it on the shelf.

I have a Chromecast. I didn't think you could cast from a desktop to the TV in terms of displaying content like Steam. But even if it worked, it's still slower than my 1 GB wired connection.

I do have a MSI gaming laptop with a HDMI port on it but the graphics card isn't the greatest. I might have to try that out. What's the max range (length of cable) you could use for HDMI?

briangw said,
So, what existing technologies can stream Steam from a PC to a TV without hooking a HDMI cable up?

None, including SteamOS.

xendrome said,

News Flash, Chromecast is already on the market and you can buy one at $35, so welcome back...

This is a trap and I'm not falling for it.

briangw said,
I have a Chromecast. I didn't think you could cast from a desktop to the TV in terms of displaying content like Steam. But even if it worked, it's still slower than my 1 GB wired connection.

I do have a MSI gaming laptop with a HDMI port on it but the graphics card isn't the greatest. I might have to try that out. What's the max range (length of cable) you could use for HDMI?

http://www.droid-life.com/2013...p-screen-too-not-just-tabs/

briangw said,

Because my computer is in the next room over, too far to connect a cable and my wife said "no" to using our TV as a monitor and having my PC docked next to it.

Get a new wife? Lol.

Seriously, what's wrong with docking your PC to the TV? Or at least on occasions where you use it, and store it away when not in use? If you bought the TV and computer, and you pay for the power, I think you should make the call here.

I know when I get married, there won't be an argument if I wanted to do this.

LOL, yeah you're right. The problem with using the TV is that I have four kids too and this is the only TV in the house with HDMI and Chromecast connected, so my kids are often watching TV shows and movies from my Plex server.

After thinking bout this some more, I am going to buy a long HDMI cable and try it out.

I think we won't see Google glass simply because excessive lameness. It's one of those products of group think. There was in this idea they had to come up with "something new" and didn't stop to think "this is lame." StreamOS won't fly simply because there's no reason to bother with it. The rest are rumors and easy to dismiss.

I can see the Steam controllers possibly being very popular if they're as good as advertised though.. if it can convert a die-hard mouser like me I'll definitely buy a few. The unit itself, yea, it's a big "meh what's the point I can do that now plus more." On the fence about Glass.. out and about the town not bloody likely for me, but I can see possible uses in a non-consumer role for sure.

It might get some interest if they sell a version for Windows. I don't think people are going to switch their gaming platform completely for a controller. Personally it kind of looks like playing with a laptop trackpad which isn't the best experience.

Mr. Hand said,
I think we won't see Google glass simply because excessive lameness. It's one of those products of group think. There was in this idea they had to come up with "something new" and didn't stop to think "this is lame." StreamOS won't fly simply because there's no reason to bother with it. The rest are rumors and easy to dismiss.

I think we won't see Google Glass because it serves well as a promotional device but the actual product won't live up to the hype.

Not bashing it but never understood the big fascination with those... they had VR headsets way back when and never really took off. Neat, sure, but practical?

how can you list google glass as something that wont happen in 2014 but in the other article you put it as #7 "There are few devices more divisive than Google's headset, but whether you love it or hate it, 2014 will be the year that Glass launches to a wider audience. Many industry commentators are convinced that the new generation of wearable computing devices are much more than just a fad, but consumers are yet to be convinced.

Google certainly has a lot to prove with Glass. But while many remain sceptical, we're eager to see what the company has in store for the device, particularly as it begins to ramp up its efforts to make wearable computing more mainstream. We're also keen to see just what the company has planned for its floating ‘Google Barge' showrooms, and whether they'll be effective in winning over the hearts and minds of consumers."

I agree with everything except the surface mini. It's too confirmed by too many people including Paul Thurrott and MJF.

I think for sure glass and steambox will be flops of zune proportions.

InstantHc-Corey said,

That can be interpreted two ways. But if it's the way I'm interpreting it, then yeah, I totally agree.

Well, Gabe hates that Microsoft opened the WIndows Store. Which is completely stupid. Is everyone else but Microsoft allowed to do that? I don't understand this notion that everyone else can do as they please in regards to their apps and ecosystems, but as soon as Microsoft does it, it's "bad, bad, bad, shame on them."

Gabe's main issue is that if the Windows store gains traction for AAA games, then it will directly impact on his core business model and money earner. That's the be all and end all of it.

Steven P. said,
Um in 2013 they went from "insignificant" to third (overtaking BlackBerry) that's a dent in my book.

Really didn't take much

Albert said,
a meager slice of the pie.

and careful - "overtaking blackberry" these days is um pretty embarrassing.

They went from <1% to 5%, which is a massive increase for a year, and is close to approaching the marketshare numbers that Apple Macs existed on for a long long time.

Also this is US and wordwide numbers, if you look at key areas like Europe, WP is over 10%, which is surprisingly big.

Even if WP flat-lines, they are ahead of where they wanted to be going into 2014.

Don't forget that in Europe, they've reached an average of over 10% share of sales. Apple only has 15-16%. You can't write that off as insignificant.

Also one of the reasons Android dominates is because of the budget market, a market that Nokia is rapidly gaining traction in with the Lumia 520 and others.

Albert and techbeck can downplay this all they like, but Nokia and Microsoft's persistence IS rapidly starting to pay off.

for some to not get the wrong idea,it was a friendly joke. I like johns articles,and he does a fine job most of the time.