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Where will smartphones be in five years time?

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#16 grayscale

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Posted 23 September 2012 - 23:10

in my pocket, unless it's a Note or an iPhone. Imagine the sizes of those two phones by that time :p


#17 Detection

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Posted 23 September 2012 - 23:13

To be honest, I think this is where Windows 8 has the right idea. 5 years from now I'd like to be able to plug my phone into a dock and have it be a pretty useable computer. This would be huge for the business world.


I agree with this, having a portable fully featured PC is the way to go, mobile phones will fade away, it will be a Computer that can make calls, not a phone that can access the net

#18 Mordkanin

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Posted 23 September 2012 - 23:15

They're going to be replacing computers for most users. Dumb terminals with NFC docking pads will be taking over their role.

Then, gaming consoles.

#19 +Brando212

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Posted 23 September 2012 - 23:20

I agree with this, having a portable fully featured PC is the way to go, mobile phones will fade away, it will be a Computer that can make calls, not a phone that can access the net

wasn't Ubuntu working on something like this? the phone would be running android, but when you put the phone on a dock connected to a monitor you'd get fully featured Ubuntu on the screen, and you'd still be able to use all your android apps in windows like normal programs, including texting app and call app

#20 Detection

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Posted 23 September 2012 - 23:22

wasn't Ubuntu working on something like this? the phone would be running android, but when you put the phone on a dock connected to a monitor you'd get fully featured Ubuntu on the screen, and you'd still be able to use all your android apps in windows like normal programs, including texting app and call app


Yea, I've not heard anything else about it, I was looking forward to that

http://www.ubuntu.com/devices/android

#21 basques

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Posted 23 September 2012 - 23:24

We'll still have a reasonable sized device in our hands that we can use as a normal mobile device, highly integrated with cloud services. Heck, everything will be coming from cloud at that time. Everything will be wireless and mobile device will be the hub. When you sit at your desk, you'll put your mobile on a wireless charging deck which will also automatically connect to your monitors, keyboard and mouse on your desk. You'll be able to use a familiar desktop environment and it will be your mobile driving it (awesome for casual computer needs).

When you go to your couch, to have some light reading experience, you won't be turning on your slate/tablet. Instead you'll wake up your extremely thin multi touch screen, which won't have any internals other then a wireless hdmi connection to your mobile phone and the sole purpose will be to provide you with a larger screen while still using your phone for all processing/connectivity. (you'll be able to keep all your data in one location + cloud).

Not sure we can get there, but this is where I want it to be. At least I want slate displa accessories for mobiles.

#22 +Majesticmerc

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Posted 23 September 2012 - 23:28

Going out on a limb with some of these, others are more realistic:
  • Design wise, I don't think much will have changed. Candybar form factor is the (forseeable) future.
  • Advances in e-ink might have an effect on screen designs, although within 5 years I doubt it.
  • Introduction of screens with 3D buttons.
  • Adoption, and then abandonment of gesture interfaces as a gimmick (meanwhile, gesture interfaces on tablets/laptops, desktops and, in particular, TVs are very popular).
  • LG out of the smartphone market. Nokia on top with Windows Phone devices OR languishing, being propped up by dumbphone sales, depending on market reaction to Lumias.
  • Increase in Windows Phone adoption, still third place around the 15-20% mark, still climbing slowly.
  • Android steady, but falling. Mainly losing out to Windows Phone and Firefox OS.
  • iOS recovers from slump after iPhone 5, 5S fail to impress.
  • Firefox OS has good introduction, survives as OS for cheap phones, replacing some of Android's market share. Little impact on WP or iOS sales.
  • High focus on desktop integration in WP, iOS and Android. WP with Windows, iOS with OSX, Android as both a mobile OS and low-end desktop OS, replacing ChromeOS entirely.
I don't see a big trend towards integrated phone/laptops. I can't imagine anything that would **** me off more than losing access to my desktop every time I answer the phone. Although, advancements in NFC-related technologies may make it feasible, so I could be wrong.

#23 wv@gt

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Posted 23 September 2012 - 23:58

Well it seems to come and go in waves as far as UI/Software vs Hardware refinement. I think over the past few months we have really seen a push for better software UIs, now with Nokia and HTC were are finally seeing some shifts on the Hardware side of things. Most won't agree with me on this, but the candybar touch screen idea is actually not the best design idea. Its not tactile enough like older phones, and makes it harder for people with disabilities. Over the next few years I think we will see a great shift towards a more tactile touch system.

#24 Enron

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Posted 24 September 2012 - 00:03

What ever happened to all that talk about bendable phones from Nokia? I bet they'll have a phone that can morph into various shapes.

#25 Hum

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Posted 24 September 2012 - 00:05

I think we'd be better off tossing the phones away. :p

#26 Xilo

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Posted 24 September 2012 - 00:10

Apple will be run to the ground in 5 years and if they aren't, their phones will be 3 years behind in technology.

#27 Deleted Bye

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Posted 24 September 2012 - 00:20

Apple will be run to the ground in 5 years and if they aren't, their phones will be 3 years behind in technology.

Boz? That you?

#28 Melfster

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Posted 24 September 2012 - 00:23

I don't think people will be using smart phones in the future the iphone and Android phones are just stop gap. We will probable having something very different.

#29 Ice_Blue

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Posted 24 September 2012 - 00:31

I think we've hit a plateau in phones and will see very little difference 5 years from now.


Well, if you had been asked the same question five years ago, would your response have been the same?

#30 theyarecomingforyou

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Posted 24 September 2012 - 00:36

I reckon that flip phones will make a comeback with the availability of flexible touch-screens, which will allow phones to shrink in size but feature larger screens. The next revolution is a little further off and will come with Google's smart glasses, which will connect wirelessly to a phone in your pocket and move the market away from touch interfaces. They will allow you to use your hands to interact with your phone without touching it (like the way Kinect tracks hand movements). Screen size will be irrelevant because the glasses will feature effectively infinite sized displays due to the proximity to your eyes and phones will finally start to become smaller again.

Until then we'll continue to see phones increase in size until they peak around 5", with mobile-enabled tablets moving down to the same size to meet them - tablets and phones will be a continuous product, rather than separate items (already true to some extent). Android phones will continue to feature bleeding edge technology that will not be properly utilised, while Microsoft and Apple will remain behind the curve but focus more on the user experience and marketing.