Why Android really is the new Windows


Recommended Posts

Summary: The figures don't lie: Android not only has almost three-quarters of global mobile device sales, but it's outselling PCs too. So the Linux-based OS is the new Windows, not only due to its ubiquity, but because it represents a key aspect of Windows that Microsoft is throwing away: openness.

Analyst figures can be a dry affair, but sometimes they're so stark that they make the future a bit clearer. That's the case with the mobile sales numbers that came out of Gartner yesterday.

It seems that Android really is the new Windows. By extension, that means Linux ? on which Android is based ? is currently whipping ten shades out of Microsoft and indeed everyone else. How times change.

Gartner's figures cover mobile device sales in the third quarter of this year. Android has gone into overdrive: unit sales more than doubled year-on-year to 122.5 million, and the platform has a market share of 72.4 percent, up from 52.5 percent a year before. That's in mobile devices, not just smartphones.

Apple's iOS is in second place, with quarterly device sales up from 17.3 million to 23.5 million, but its market share down from 15 percent to 13.8 percent. Other mobile OSes are all in the single digits, from RIM's 5.3 percent share down to Microsoft's 2.4 percent.

Now compare this data with what Gartner said a month ago about PC shipments in the same quarter. The grand total for Q3? 87.5 million units. A year-on-year drop of 8.3 percent, since you ask.

In other words, Android device sales have an almost 3:2 ratio compared with PC shipments ? and remember that shipments are always greater than sales (unless the product sells out). At this rate, the ratio will be 2:1 within a quarter or two.

Ouch

Caveats apply, of course, but I don't think any are major enough to provide an alternative explanation for this trend. Maybe people delayed PC-buying decisions in anticipation of the Windows 8 launch? Microsoft's upgrade programme cancels out this theory to some degree. Also, this is the back-to-school quarter.

No, this is a real trend. And before you go, "Ah, but smartphones and PCs are not the same thing", well, for many people they are. Think of all those in emerging markets who have never owned a PC and never will. They're increasingly getting their windows on the web ? which is the real winner here, in some respects ? through handsets and tablets.

Even in the so-called developed world, these devices are usurping the PC for many functions, from web browsing to communications, and even for light document editing.

And Android is winning, on cost and (drum roll) on openness.

Open for business

Why openness? Because there are many app stores out there for Android, and because apps can even be loaded without getting it via a marketplace at all. You and I in the US and Europe may not ever venture outside the confines of Apple's App Store and Google's Play Store, but believe me, the alternatives are out there and heavily used, particularly in countries such as China and Russia.

You know what's funny about this? Android is winning, partly because it represents what Windows used to represent: flexibility.

It may seem a bit unfair to say "used to" there, but it's really not. Microsoft has been very clear that starting with Windows 8, it now wants to control its app ecosystem Apple-style.

It's correct in calculating that this will lead to a higher standard of app, but it's wrong if it thinks this will give it any kind of edge against Apple (which offers the same deal but is far further down the road in terms of building an ecosystem). It's also utterly deluded if it thinks most people care about the "uncontrolled" nature of Android.

The desktop won't go away ? it's still needed for many types of content creation, and that will stay the case for a long time yet. But the smartphone and the tablet are computers too, and in the overall picture, Android is taking over the world.

http://www.zdnet.com/android-really-is-the-new-windows-7000007450/

Why is probably won't be the new Windows:

-Fragmentation.

-Lots of potential competition.

-Patent issues.

-Might have already peaked in terms of sales.

Android hardware producers:

-Samsung are the company dominating the sales, their Android phones are a big part of their revenue but not the majority of their $247bn revenue.

-HTC the second biggest get the majority of their revenue from Android sales, they are struggling to get over $10bn of revenue.

Windows hardware producers:

-HP get the majority of their revenue from windows hardware, revenue of $127bn.

-Dell get the majority of their revenue from windows hardware, revenue of $63bn.

-Intel $54bn

No.

Why is probably won't be the new Windows:

Fragmentation.

Lots of potential competition.

Patent issues.

Might have already peaked in terms of sales.

Also your sale figures, a teenager will maybe get a computer every 5 years, some longer and some shorter. A family may have one computer but could have 2,3,4+ android devices. So you can't directly compare the sales directly of mobiles and PC's. A slightly more fair comparison would be android tablets to Windows.

(Y)

Sorry android, not happening. Windows is still Windows. Everyone still wants a PC, they still want it to be Windows. Businesses aren't throwing them out to buy tablets. They are adding tablets into a dominent Windows infrastructure. Android devices are just an additional thing people buy now. Just like when Microwaves came out. You didn't throw out your old oven. It just gave you more flexibility.

I know why 99% people around me use Android: easy to pirate. Go figure.

Yea and as if windows is any more difficult

Android would / will never be a PC OS, it would be horrendous, its bad enough on a tablet at times

Why is probably won't be the new Windows:

-Fragmentation.

-Lots of potential competition.

-Patent issues.

-Might have already peaked in terms of sales.

Android hardware producers:

-Samsung are the company dominating the sales, their Android phones are a big part of their revenue but not the majority of their $247bn revenue.

-HTC the second biggest get the majority of their revenue from Android sales, they are struggling to get over $10bn of revenue.

Windows hardware producers:

-HP get the majority of their revenue from windows hardware, revenue of $127bn.

-Dell get the majority of their revenue from windows hardware, revenue of $63bn.

-Intel $54bn

That fragmentation bit is BS. None of the top 4 mobile OSes have 100% of the user base using the latest version, yet Android is the only one who gets crap for it.

Why is probably won't be the new Windows:

-Fragmentation.

-Lots of potential competition.

-Patent issues.

-Might have already peaked in terms of sales.

Android hardware producers:

-Samsung are the company dominating the sales, their Android phones are a big part of their revenue but not the majority of their $247bn revenue.

-HTC the second biggest get the majority of their revenue from Android sales, they are struggling to get over $10bn of revenue.

Windows hardware producers:

-HP get the majority of their revenue from windows hardware, revenue of $127bn.

-Dell get the majority of their revenue from windows hardware, revenue of $63bn.

-Intel $54bn

You should know that past performance doesn't equal future performance.

In other words... The future is not today.Predictions are much more complex than that...

speaking of fragmentation, look at w$, they have at least 3 'environments' right now with their brand "new" OS. One for tablets, one for desktop and one for phones. They cant see each other properly, only in the "cloud". And if they can share something between, need a "proxy" program, which makes the compatibility useless by definition. In the other hand, Android EVERYTHING is transparent, where it shares in between without need anything else more than a cable or an ip. Nothing proxy like itunes and yet another thing that m$ copy from apple (oh great idea!).

Android would grow up more than they think, not only with the 3rd quater of the market but just like everything. And remember, its OPEN SOURCE and FREE.

This is nonsense right from the summary.

"The figures don't lie: Android not only has almost three-quarters of global mobile device sales, but it's outselling PCs too. So the Linux-based OS is the new Windows, not only due to its ubiquity, but because it represents a key aspect of Windows that Microsoft is throwing away: openness."

ZDNET living up to it's usual garbage standards. :s

That fragmentation bit is BS. None of the top 4 mobile OSes have 100% of the user base using the latest version, yet Android is the only one who gets crap for it.

Im pretty sure Android gets crap because for the longest time the majority of their figures were based of $50 Chinese pieces of **** running android 2-2.2...and lets face it, the numbers are high because of the Chinese masses contributing to the very open (read hackable) mobile OS...

The platform is already independently reviewed as being the most malware ridden platform available and from a developer point of view even though it has a massive piece of the market share, most developers are making significantly less thaan they do on iOS....

You know as well as everyone else that until droid 4.1 the lag and stutter and performance was ridiculously bad....and even more recently Google has eye balled the likes of Acer for daring to release a Chinese version of what was originally Android basically threatening to cut them off if they didn't stop releasing...

Sure Samsung and HTC have done a very excellent job with their flagship phones but in reality its all because they wanted to get a toe into the mobile OS market and this was the most open platform i.e. open source (kinda) that they could get in and hack around with because tha laternative to this and prior to them getting on board with Android they had shithouse Symbian type crap with a different skin every phone that was released and NO APPS...

I think, generally speaking of course, that these are some of the reasons droid gets cained....

its also funny to note that as soon as Apple mauled Samsung Google quietly ran over to Acer and began stroking them?? and how they really really really don't like Amazon kindle even though that's based on droid as well....kinda crazy don't ya think???

speaking of fragmentation, look at w$, they have at least 3 'environments' right now with their brand "new" OS. One for tablets, one for desktop and one for phones. They cant see each other properly, only in the "cloud". And if they can share something between, need a "proxy" program, which makes the compatibility useless by definition. In the other hand, Android EVERYTHING is transparent, where it shares in between without need anything else more than a cable or an ip. Nothing proxy like itunes and yet another thing that m$ copy from apple (oh great idea!).

Android would grow up more than they think, not only with the 3rd quater of the market but just like everything. And remember, its OPEN SOURCE and FREE.

dude what you smoking??? 3 environments...u mean the only platform that can seamlessly play nice on three screens??? what do you mean cant see each other properly??? I mean what do you base that on exactly...just because everything works seamlessly through cloud doesn't mean it cant work any other way like nfc, wifi lan etc...

why don't you try connecting your Droid PC, phone and gaming console together ...oh wait they don't produce 2 of those...

when the droid idiots spend a lot less time fingering their phones and actually using a computer to work on and produce something we might sort out the non stop wanking these people engage in...

its a freaking phone, get over it and get back to whatever social not working you were up to before you shat in the comment box...

  • Like 3

That fragmentation bit is BS. None of the top 4 mobile OSes have 100% of the user base using the latest version, yet Android is the only one who gets crap for it.

Indeed i would understand if the majority of apps only worked on Android 4.0+ however most apps will work on Android 2.2 and up, which was released over 2 and a half years ago.

Microsoft shills still blather on about fragmentation, and Android phones are still selling in massive numbers. How many years does Android have to blow Windows Phone away for before you admit that fragmentation is nothing more than a boring buzzphrase that means nothing to consumers?

This topic is now closed to further replies.
  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
  • Posts

    • That lens of history will burn if you hold it at the right angle... Warn users too late: Shame, Microsoft! That extremely minor update to an obscure Control Panel widget required 2 years of warning. Warn users too early: Shame, Microsoft! We've got better things to do. Pipeline and process be damned, we'll just always be disappointed, eh?
    • Microsoft Paint used to be my favorite Windows app as a kid, and it's still pretty good by Usama Jawad I have been using Windows since the early 2000s, when I was around 10 years old or so. I vaguely remember playing around with Windows 98 and Windows 2000, but that may have been on school PCs which had old operating systems installed. My main OS on the home PC, and the one I recall spending most time with, was Windows XP. At that time, I used the home PC to create Word and PowerPoint documents for school, but a lot of the time, I simply used it to play games. My dad would bring game discs which we would try and install on the PC, sometimes unsuccessfully, and sometimes, we would rely on flash games in the browser, like Bubble Trouble on Miniclip. However, the problem with the latter approach was the internet speed. On a good day, our dial-up internet would offer us speeds of 56 kbps, but on most days, it was closer to 33 kbps. This did not facilitate online gaming as I would often have to wait minutes for a game to load or "draw" on the screen, and trying to download pirated games wasn't simple either. I remember getting tired of waiting for online games to load and just downloading simulator games from the Big Fish Games website instead, only to be disappointed after finding out that I was just being given access to trial versions of the title, and I needed to fork out money to pay for the full version. All of this is to say that it wasn't very easy to find entertainment options on the home PC when I was a kid, due to a number of reasons, mostly outside of my control. This situation pushed me towards a rather unconventional ally: Microsoft Paint. Whenever the internet wasn't working as good as I expected, I would simply spin up Paint and draw complete rubbish on the canvas. Of course, that wasn't always the intention, but it usually happened when I messed up drawing a straight line or something, and then I would give up on that particular piece and simply draw a random collection of objects. Microsoft Paint was extremely accessible and easy to use. Even if you weren't an artist, you could quickly understand the tools at your disposal and how to leverage them on a canvas. The absolute breadth on offer ensured that each painting was truly unique, as you could utilize various combinations of tools like the pencil, paint, spray paint, and more to truly personalize your creation. Since I wasn't particularly good at drawing both on digital screen or a physical screen, I remember that my main style of art would be to insert a bunch of randomly intersecting lines and then fill them with random colors through the paint can. I have trying to replicate that art style in the latest version of Paint below, and as you can see, it's truly Pablo Picasso-esque. The human imagination truly knows no bounds Microsoft Paint kept me occupied for hours and was my best friend when video games on the home PC were inaccessible for one reason or the other. There was no academic or professional reason for which I would need to use Paint, but I still loved using it in my personal time, even if what I created wasn't worth being shown to anyone. It was simply fun. Fast-forward to today, and the situation is mostly the same. Now that I am almost 29 years old, and I still have no reason to use Microsoft Paint in a professional capacity. In fact, I don't even use it in a personal capacity, except to dabble with it from time to time, just to see if core functionalities are still intact. And I'm happy to say that I think Microsoft Paint still offers the same accessibility and inviting experience that it did to me a couple of decades ago, even though its UX has been refreshed and it's been integrated with Copilot features. Interestingly, things could have been a lot different, had Microsoft had its way. Microsoft Paint was marked for deprecation with the Windows 10 Fall Creators Update in 2017, and even began displaying a product retirement alert, urging customers to shift to Paint 3D instead. Fortunately, after consumer backlash, Microsoft reversed course on this decision, and Paint continues to be a native app inside Windows installations that can also be updated quite frequently through the Microsoft Store. Instead, Paint 3D ended up on the chopping block, which is for the better, I think. I have intermittently played around with Microsoft's refreshed Paint experience in the past few years, and I do think it has received worthwhile upgrades. the UI and the UX has been modernized while retaining core functionality, and the app is still fairly easy to use. It doesn't meet any of my use-cases, but I've never really had any use-cases ever, as described previously. Of course, the elephant in the room is the Copilot integration. Personally, I believe that this is one place where Copilot does make sense, environmental concerns aside. I know that a lot of creatives use AI to generate images, and while some may be using professional alternatives, Paint still offers a decent casual experience, with the power of Copilot. Of course, you do need to have a valid Microsoft 365 Copilot license and available credits to use it, but even if you don't, you still get the big Copilot button in the toolbar, unfortunately. All in all, I am glad that Microsoft Paint continues to be a native feature in Windows 11, and a piece of software that has evolved to meet modern needs without cutting off its own roots. It's just an iconic piece of Windows history that was an essential part of my childhood, and while I don't use it anymore, I'm just glad it is still there.
    • 2TB WD_Black SN7100 PCIe Gen4 NVMe SSD drops to its lowest price in over three months by Fiza Ali Amazon is currently offering the 2TB WD_Black SN7100 internal solid-state drive at its lowest price in over three months, so you may want to check it out, if you have been considering a storage upgrade, before the deal dries up (purchase link is toward the end of the article). Featuring a PCIe Gen 4.0 interface and M.2 2280 form factor, the SN7100 promises to deliver sequential read speeds of up to 7,250MB/s and sequential write speeds reaching 6,900MB/s, offering as much as a 35% improvement in performance compared with the previous generation. It also achieves random read speeds of 1,000,000 IOPS and random write speeds of 1,400,000 IOPS. The drive uses Western Digital’s TLC 3D NAND technology for reliable performance and is further supported by a five-year limited warranty. It also offers strong endurance, rated at up to 1,200TBW, making it suitable for demanding workloads such as gaming, content creation, and high-speed recording. Moreover, its DRAM-less architecture claims to improve power efficiency (the SSD relies on system memory for caching via HMB), while the WD_Black Dashboard software enables users to monitor drive health, install firmware updates, and activate Game Mode for potentially better performance. Finally, it operates within an operating temperature range of 0°C to 85°C, and can withstand storage temperatures from -40°C to 85°C. 2TB WD_Black SN7100 PCIe Gen4 NVMe SSD: $242.96 (Amazon US) Check this deal out if you want a 4TB option. Good to know This Amazon deal is U.S. specific, and not available in other regions unless specified. We only use first-party seller links (at the time of article publishing); ensure that you purchase from a first-party seller link only. Check out Today's Deals on Amazon | or our recent tech deals. Become a Prime member (for Students or SNAP) via Neowin Get Prime Access - Prime for half price (for qualifying Medicaid, EBT, SNAP) Subscribe to Prime Video, Audible Plus, Music Unlimited or Kindle Unlimited via Neowin As an Amazon Associate, we earn from qualifying purchases.
    • Hopefully this will fix the issue of no sound I have since last months stupid, and non-removable, Microsoft Corporation AudioProcessingObject Driver Update (1.0.3.56670)
    • It IS confusing! What channel are you in on each device? I'm guessing your 16GB device is on Experimental (formerly known as Dev) and your 128GB is on Beta.
  • Recent Achievements

    • Week One Done
      Supreme Spray LV earned a badge
      Week One Done
    • One Month Later
      Genuinetonerink- Dubai earned a badge
      One Month Later
    • Week One Done
      Genuinetonerink- Dubai earned a badge
      Week One Done
    • One Year In
      hhgygy earned a badge
      One Year In
    • Week One Done
      AMV earned a badge
      Week One Done
  • Popular Contributors

    1. 1
      +primortal
      514
    2. 2
      +Edouard
      163
    3. 3
      PsYcHoKiLLa
      87
    4. 4
      Steven P.
      74
    5. 5
      Michael Scrip
      73
  • Tell a friend

    Love Neowin? Tell a friend!